Dimension of Population Ageing in Bangladesh

1. Md. Mostafizur Rahman
Assistant Professor
Dept. of Population Science and Human Resource Development
University of Rajshahi
Rajshahi-6205, Bangladesh

2. Md. Ismail Tareque
Lecturer
Dept. of Population Science and Human Resource Development
University of Rajshahi
Rajshahi-6205, Bangladesh

3. K. M. Mustafizur Rahman
Research Fellow
Dept. of Population Science and Human Resource Development
University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi-6205, Bangladesh

4. Towfiqua Mahfuza Islam
M. Phil Fellow
Dept. of Population Science and Human Resource Development
University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi-6205, Bangladesh

Correspondence:
Md. Ismail Tareque
Email: tareque_pshd@yahoo.com

ABSTRACT

The elderly comprise a much larger proportion of the population today than ever before. The aging situation should get due attention not only from the demographic angle but it also acquires special significance in a situation when the country swings at different levels on the continuum of tradition and modernity. It is essential for tsociety and the government to realize that the aged population needs not to be regarded as 'demographic refuse' and given a congenial atmosphere, they can still contribute to the family and community combining old values and new expectations.


Introduction

Population ageing is defined as an increase in the proportion of population, which is elderly. It is a product of history, individual experiences and social forces (Morgan and Kunkel, 2001). It is not a separate issue from social integration, gender advancement, economic stability or poverty. Until very recently in developing countries like Bangladesh problems associated with aging were generally perceived as issues to be considered and resolved at the level of the individual or family concerned. Among the Asia-Pacific region, Bangladesh has experienced a steady decline in mortality accompanied by modest decline in fertility (NAS, 1981, ESCAP, 1981; Mabud, 1987; Kabir and Uddin, 1987). This process may have a significant impact on the well-being of older persons, especially in the less developed regions where social support for the older person is largely provided by the immediate family (Hoyert, 1991; Wolf, 1994). Now the number of elderly is rapidly increasing and the system of joint family has been changing to prefer a new system of nuclear family of husband-wife and unmarried children. The process of aging of the population is creating significant problems and consequently the issues such as public health measures, and dependency ratios are required to be addressed by the policy makers in entirely different perspectives (Hossain, 1998). The aging process might have started in Bangladesh. Thus, the aging situation should get due attention not only from the demographic angle but it also acquires special significance in a situation when the country swings at different levels in the continuum of tradition and modernity (Randhawa, 1991).

The elderly comprise a much larger proportion of the population today than ever before. The rapid and faster technological progresses in medical science control the fertility and mortality rates considerably, and the average composition exhibits a relatively larger proportion of elderly persons. Increased age normally brings considerable change in individual needs. For instance, health conditions typically decline with advancing age, and this suggests an escalation in the demand for long-term care (Pollard, 1995; Crimmins, 1997). Again, increasing longevity can also result in rising medical costs and increasing demands for health services, since older people are typically more vulnerable to chronic diseases (de Jong-Gierveld and van Solinge, 1995; Holliday, 1999). The old age segment of the population represents an important subset of the aggregate population and the elderly as a separate and identifiable group with their own specific needs has emerged as an issue quite recently. In view of the ever-increasing importance being given to ageing, this paper is an attempt to throw some light on the matter in Bangladesh.


Data Sources

This study is based on secondary data from the Bangladesh Population Census 1991 and 2001. The data source is officially published by Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS, 1994 and BBS, 2003) a sponsored agency of the Bangladesh Government.


Size of the Aged population and Ageing Index

Almost all aspects of human behaviour and attributes are regulated by one of the most fundamental characteristics; age structure of its population. The specific problems and requirements of a country vary in a large part with age. A population with a high proportion of old persons may differ considerably from that of young persons in its productive activities, consumption patterns, socio-cultural and political issues and other necessities and problems of life. Distribution of the age structure of population has been presented in Table1.

It is clear from Table1 that during ten years from 1991 to 2001, the size has increased by nearly 2.0 millions. From the Table we observed that, the percentage of population in age group 0-14 years has declined over the past three decades but the percentage of population in the age group 15-59 years has increased till 2001. This may indicate a decline in fertility levels in the recent past. In 2001 we also observed that 45.46% population is dependent upon the rest of 54.54% working population,the most striking feature which increases dependence upon the rest of the working population. So, these figures are alarming. A low population percent of change indicates that fertility decreased in the previous decades. Also the results show the enormous increase in the index of aging is due to faster rate of increase in the old age population accompanied by an equally faster rate of decline in the child population.

Table 1: Size and percentage distribution of the aged population

Year Age group Total Change in size Index of aging
<15 15-59 60+ Number Percent
1974

34372000

(48.04)

33118000

(46.28)

4058000

(5.68)

71548000

(100)

- -

- -

11.8

1981

40601000

(46.60)

41616000

(47.77)

4904000

(5.63)

87121000

(100)

15573000

21.8

12.1

1991

47997906

(45.14)

52614321

(49.50)

5702765

(5.36)

106314992

(100)

19193992

22.0

11.9

2001

48716100

(39.33)

67544680

(54.54)

7590340

(6.13)

123851120

(100)

17536128

16.5

15.6

Note: Parenthesis indicates the percentage

Some Aging indicators

Ageing indicators such as growth of the aged population, percentage of aged, dependency ratio, ageing index median age, sex ratio are presented in Table 2.

An increasing trend is observed for the aged population in Bangladesh. From the difference of the growth rate of the last two decades, it is observed that the total growth rate of Bangladesh increased slightly while the aged growth rate has become approximately double. Though the percentage of the elderly population has steadily and slowly increased and rural percentage is higher than the urban areas, the elderly and overall population has grown faster than in the rural areas, mainly because of increase in the expectation of life. It may be attributed that the main factors involved in the rapid urban elderly population growth are natural growth, rural to urban migration and the changes in the delimitation and definition of urban areas.

The dependency ratio is a simple statistics measure of the impact of the age structure on the economic potential of the population. Though this percentage is normally used to denote the burden of the productive population due to age consideration but in reality in developing countries like Bangladesh many persons aged above 60 years work hard to earn their livelihood and many children under 15 years also work to support themselves and their family members. From Table 2 we observed that the percentage of aged dependency ratio is increasing whereas the overall dependency ratio is decreasing with advancement of time.

The relatively faster increase in the elderly population will contribute to a higher dependency ratio of the population in non-productive age group, whereas the decline in fertility has reduced overall (youth + elderly) dependency ratio.

The index of aging has increased for overall Bangladesh during the ten years from 1991 to 2001. The growing number of older persons and reduction of young population increase the index of aging, reflecting the change in the age structure composition of the population of Bangladesh. Among many indicators of whether a population is aging or not; the median age is perhaps the strongest one. From Table 2 we observe that the median age for the elderly population for Bangladesh in 1991 is almost similar for the year 2001. That means more of the aged population are of 60-69 years of age. In the meantime the overall median age increased slightly from 1991 to 2001.

Generally, sex ratio i.e. masculinity ratio among the elderly reveals another interesting aspect of the situation likely to occur in Bangladesh. From Table 2 we observed that the sex ratio of Bangladesh population has been decreased from 1991 to 2001. This ratio is significantly differing for urban and rural areas. Whereas the overall sex ratio for Bangladesh in 1991 is almost similar as 2001, this ratio significantly varies between rural and urban areas. It is observed from the Table that the sex ratio of the urban population is always higher than its rural counterpart. It can be noted that urban areas of the country are the place of work for many people who migrated from rural areas to urban areas in search of work. In the context of Bangladesh the employment opportunity for the males is wider than the females. Therefore, people migrating from rural areas to urban areas for better jobs and work are mainly the male population. The influxes of females to urban areas is comparatively less. Moreover, of those males who work in the urban areas, their spouses stay in the rural areas because of cost of living in the urban areas is high, particularly the cost of accommodation in the urban area is extremely high, which cannot be met by the low-income groups of urban people. Thus the urban population is male dominated with high sex ratio.

Table 2: Some indicators of population aging (click to view)


Marital status of the elderly population

Marital status is the most important factor in population dynamics as it affects fertility tremendously and mortality and migration to a lesser extent. Also, its effect on other social and economic characteristics, such as school attendance and labour force participation is very important in the late adolescent and young adult age group (Henry, et al.., 1971). Marital status is an important consideration, especially for the elderly because of its influence on their physical and mental stability. The distribution of the elderly population by marital status is presented in Table 3.

From Table 3 we observe that married elderly among the overall population and among the total aged population increases with time and as married elderly increases, the widowed decreases. The percentage of married elderly is quite the same according to the locality. The Table also shows that widowed involvess a greater percentage. The main reason why the widows outnumber widowers may be because of the fact that men used to be older than women by 5 or more years at the time of their marriage. Generally, men remarry after the death of their wives, but widows do not have the similar social circumstances or expectation. This is an indication of the discrimination against women and low status given to them in Bangladesh. The Table also shows that there is a significant increase in the percentage of the never married elderly among the overall population as well as among the total aged population from 1991 to 2001.

Table 3: Percentage distribution of the elderly population by marital status and locality

1991
Locality Elderly among the overall population Elderly among the total aged population

Never
merried

Married

Widowed

Divorce/
separate

Never
merried

Married

Widowed

Divorce/
separate

Urban .04 3.17 1.11 .014 1.00 73.14 25.62 .24
Rural .04 4.08 1.52 .011 .64 72.72 27.07 .19
Bangladesh .04 3.88 1.44 .011 .69 72.26 26.85 .20
2001
Urban .26 3.45 1.03 .015 5.49 72.54 21.65 .32
Rural .30 4.73 1.49 .016 4.60 72.36 22.80 .24
Bangladesh .29 4.44 1.38 .015 4.76 72.39 22.59 .25

 

Literacy, work status and household types of the elderly population

Education is the backbone of a nation. Higher literacy rates indicate the higher level of development. So the data on literacy levels and trends are of crucial significance to the policy makers, researchers and planners for socio-economic and educational planning of a country. Again in many countries of the less developed regions, there are large concentrations of older workers in agriculture and other sectors of the economy (notably the informal sector) who have little or no social security coverage (International Labour Office, 2000). The status of literacy and work participation rates for the elderly population (60+) are presented in Table 4.

There is an increase in literacy in the year 2001 than 1991. Literacy rates in urban areas are higher than that of rural areas in both years. It is observed from Table 4, that illiteracy in rural areas is almost double that of urban areas. A remarkable gap between urban and rural areas is found for females. A wide difference between males and females in literacy rates was found in both the census years 1991 & 2001. Gender inequality is greatly pronounced in this respect, as most males are literate while the females are mostly illiterate. The low percentage of literacy in Bangladesh is a well-known phenomenon. It is hoped that the gap between the urban and rural adult literacy level will gradually decrease over time and the gender difference will also become narrower.

The percentage of working aged among the total aged population is decreasing a little. The proportion of elderly workers in rural areas is greater than other areas in both years. It is noticed that the majority of the elderly engage in agriculture. Although the decline in labour force participation means fewer jobs in the future, it also means that a proportion of the elderly people are not working. About 19.32% of male elderly and 29.86% of female elderly in the rural areas were not working in 2001. This rate is quite high in urban areas. It is noticeable that if this situation prevails then pressure will increasingly fall on the limited resources to provide good services for this portion of the population. Therefore, planning in respect of future employment opportunities for the elderly is of urgent need.

The socio-economic development of a country has direct bearing on the housing condition of people and the consumption of households. The care and support provided to parents is usually in the form of shared housing, food and other necessities and less often in the form of direct transfer of income (Kabir,1999; Knodel and Debavalya, 1992). Households have been classified into three categories namely - dwelling, institutional and other. Dwelling households are those which are mainly used for residential purposes. Hostel, hospitals, clinics, jails, barracks or orphanages where a person or a group of persons spent census night are considered as institutional households and households other than dwelling and institutional households are considered as 'other households'. According to the type of classification how many percentage of elderly population live in those categories by sex and locality is presented in Table 4.

The percentage of the elderly who are living in dwelling places is not significantly different by sex and locality, and that pattern is quite similar in both the years. We also have observed that the percentage of male elderly in "Institutions" is more than double the percentage of the female population in urban areas in both censuses. Rural to urban migration for better facilities, such as education, employment etc. may be responsible for that.

Table 4: Percentage distribution of the elderly by educational status, work status, household types, sex and locality. (Click here to view)


Concluding Remarks

The trend in the size and growth of the elderly population in Bangladesh reveals that ageing will become a major social challenge in the future when considerable resources will need to be directed towards the support, care and treatment of the elderly. The process of aging in Bangladesh now is taking place at a time when the pattern of life is changing, kinship bonds are weakening and family composition is undergoing a rapid transformation. But with their rapid increase and under the condition of changing family pattern, the elderly population already seems to be experiencing difficulties. Most of the elderly people of Bangladesh live in rural areas where health and recreational facilities are very limited. The majority of them are illiterate; economic facilities and job opportunities are limited. More than half of the elderly women are widowed, divorced or single. In all these respects elderly women are more disadvantaged than elderly men. A large proportion of elderly men are still in the labour force both in rural and urban areas. But job opportunities are very limited in the country. It is difficult for them to get jobs commensurate with their ages (Abedin, 1996).

In view of the above findings, it is essential for society and the government to realize that the aged population needs not to be regarded as 'demographic refuse'. Since this segment of the population will continue to increase gradually in future in Bangladesh, given a congenial atmosphere, they can still contribute to the family and community combining old values and new expectations.

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