Advances in Medical Education

 

Population and Health in Eastern Mediterranean:
A Preliminary Examination

Authors:
Asharaf A. Salam
M.A. (Kerala, India), M.P.S. (IIPS, India), Dip.Ger. (Malta), Ph.D. (IIPS, India)
Amina Abdulla Alshekteria
M.B.Ch.B (Libya), M.Sc. (Hungary), M.D. (Libya)

Faculty of Public Health
Al Arab Medical Science University
Benghazi, Libya 2007

The authors are grateful to Eng. Sobhi Batterjee, Chairman - Saudi German Hospitals Group, Jeddah for his support in preparing this paper.

Correspondence:
Dr. Asharaf Abdul Salam, Department of Health Administration, Faculty of Public Health, Al Arab Medical Science University, Benghazi, Libya. Tel. +218-928198269.

ABSTRACT

The Eastern Mediterranean Region comprises 22 countries and is less researched, especially on health and demography. This region can be demarcated into three different sectors viz., South East Asia, Middle East Asia and Africa. On the basis of land area both South Asia and Middle East Asia sectors together have a share almost equal to that of the Africa sector, but on the basis of population, all these three sectors have equal share, with density varying widely across countries. Demographically, this region has a sex ratio favoring males, age structure showing early stage of demographic transition, having a higher proportion of children and adults and an initial phase of ageing. Health characteristics seem to be well developed except in the case of fertility rate (pronatalistic approach), almost universal immunization, with good standards in health provision and utilization. There are certain communicable diseases that are specific in this region. Even though, the developmental indicators appear to be appreciating, a few nations namely Somalia, Sudan, Afghanistan and Pakistan deserve attention and support.

1. Introduction

Countries on the east and south east of the Mediterranean Sea are often termed as Eastern Mediterranean countries. There are 22 countries in this region that spread across Asian and African continents. Pakistan and Afghanistan from South Asia, Iran and countries in the Gulf region from Middle East Asia, Somalia, Djibouti and Sudan from East Africa, Egypt, Libya and Tunisia from North Africa and Morocco from West Africa together forms the Eastern Mediterranean Region.

This region has many common features relating to ethnic origin, language, religion, values and customs. But there are differences across countries in terms of politics and socio-economic development. There are very stable and rich countries but there are less rich countries and also there are poorly endowed and less stable countries.

Fig.1 Map showing countries in the Eastern Mediterranean Region

Source: WHO EMRO, Cairo

There are three different segmentations in Eastern Mediterranean viz., South Asia comprising of Afghanistan and Pakistan; Middle East Asia consisting of Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria and Yemen; and African countries consisting of Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Somalia, Sudan and Tunisia. These three geographical clusters represent three different stages of demographic development and health characteristics.


2 Land Area of Eastern Mediterranean

The region comprising 22 countries spread across two continents has a total land area of 13, 177,918 square kilometers (Palestine is excluded from this analysis due to shortcomings in data). Of the countries in the region, Sudan, Saudi Arabia, Libyan Arab Jamahariya and Islamic Republic of Iran are the largest in area in that order. A total of 62 percent of land area has been occupied by these four countries. Countries viz., Bahrain, Lebanon, Qatar and Kuwait are small in area in the region. Given in Fig. 2 is the proportional distribution of countries by geographic area.

Fig.2 Land Are by Nations in EMRO

Of the land area 6.5 percent falls in South Asia; 41.8 percent in Middle East Asia and 51.7 percent in Africa, thus, indicating that this region has almost an equal share of land area in Asian and African continents.


3. Population

Population in this region has increased from a mere 194 million in 1970 to 298 million in 1984-85 with an annual growth rate of 3 percent (EMRO, 1987)1. At present this region has nearly half a billion population of which a major share live in Pakistan (30%) and which is followed by Egypt (14%) and Iran (13%) in that order. The lowest share of population in this region is in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Djibouti, UAE and Lebanon. Fig. 3 gives a diagrammatic representation of Eastern Mediterranean region in terms of its population share across various countries.

Fig.3 Population by Nations in EMRO

Of the population, a large share lives in South Asia as Pakistan is the highly populous country in the region, otherwise, the total population has been divided almost equally among the three geographic segments. It can also be seen that South Asia is the most densely populated region as compared to their Middle East Asia or Africa counterparts.
It can be seen from Table 1 that this region is very sparsely populated as its density is noticeably low. The region has a density of 37 persons per square kilometer, which means that there are 37 persons living in one square kilometer area, on average. This low density situation could have resulted because of the vast deserts and hills which are unsuitable for habitation. The cultivable and inhabitable land constitutes only a fraction of the total surface area in this region. There is a low pressure on the land in terms of population. Among the nations, Bahrain appears to be the most densely populated country and is followed by Afghanistan, Lebanon and Pakistan in that order.

Click here to view table 1

It can be noted that the region has leaned against females. The region as a whole has a sex ratio (number of males per 100 females) of 105 meaning that there are 105 males per 100 females. The situation varies from a pro-woman centred to an anti-woman centred population. It is in Lebanon where a pro woman sex ratio (94) has been noted. There are only 94 males per 100 females. Qatar on the other hand has a sex ratio of 189, which is unbalanced. It shows that there is a low balance on the number of males and females. This is followed by Kuwait, UAE and Bahrain in that order. This biased sex ratio might have resulted from the expatriate male workforce in these Gulf countries. Qatar, as an example has a population of 7,44,483, has 71 percent of population in 15-64 years (as per the data supplied by CIA, Washington3). This high proportion of persons in the working age reflects immigration of labor force. Sex ratio is as high as 248 among this age group. On the contrary, sex ratio of the child population is 104. Kuwait has a population of 1,973,572 of which 68 percent are aged 15-64 years. Sex ratio among them remains at 176. Sex ratio of UAE's population aged 15-59 years (68 percent) remains at 176. KSA, another country having a significant share (5%) in the region has a sex ratio highly favorable to males (125). Sex ratio of native Saudi's is found to be 101 whereas that of non-Saudi population is 200. The above statistics shows that there is a balance in the native population but not in the expatriate population who are employed in these countries.

The high sex ratio of Middle East Asia could have resulted from in-migration. But in comparison, South Asia and Africa are also found to have a sex ratio in favor of males. Sex ratio in these two subcontinents might have been different when the out-migrant male population has been taken into account. Research shows that a majority of expatriate males in the Middle East Asian countries are from South Asia (including India and Philippines) and Africa (Rajan 20044).


4. Age Structure

The region has a very young population, which is seen in the age pyramid (Fig. 3). The region has a very expansive pyramid referring to a high proportion of children and a low proportion of higher aged population (See Devi et al., 2002 for details regarding age pyramid). This age structure characterizes an underdeveloped demographic situation. Even though the region experiences higher birth rates, the death rates are extremely low which is comparable to developed countries. But the overall effects of low mortality are not reflected in the age pyramid, which might be because of the high fertility situation that prevails in this region.

Fig.4 Age Distribution of Eastern Mediterranian Region in 2000

Since this region forms nations of varying socio-economic and development levels, a blanket statement might be misleading, which makes it empirical to examine age structure of each segment of this region separately.

For example, the age structure of the South Asia region appears to be slightly different from that of the region as a whole. The South Asian countries viz., Afghanistan and Pakistan seems to be in a less advanced stage as far as demographic transition is concerned. The region as a whole has almost entered into the transition phase; while the South Asian countries are slightly behind in the process.

Fig.5 Age Distribution of South Asian Countries in The Eastern Mediterranian Region in 2000

Middle East Asia, in comparison, has an age structure which started showing constriction especially at the bottom of the pyramid. This is a population group that is characterized by a higher number of in-migrants of working age group.

Fig.6 Age Distribution of Middle East Countries in The Eastern Mediterranian Region in 2000

The age pyramid of African Eastern Mediterranean Countries started showing constriction more than their counterparts in South Asia, even though at a lower pace than the countries in the Middle East. It shows the onset of demographic transition in these countries.

Fig.7 Age Distribution of African Countries in The Eastern Mediterranian Region in 2000


5. Population by Broad Age Groups

The region as a whole has a high proportion of children, adolescents and women in reproductive ages. The proportion of older persons remains low.

Fig.8 Proportional Distribution in Eastern Mediterranean Region by Broad Age Groups

Since this region comprised nations of varying developmental stages, national disparities are very clearly visible. In the Gulf region, Yemen has a higher percentage of children (47.5%) which is followed by Sudan, Somalia and Afghanistan in that order. Qatar, Lebanon, Kuwait and Tunisia have low proportions of children. Of these four countries Qatar and Kuwait are in-migrant countries whereas Lebanon and Tunisia shows demographic change as the reason for low proportions of children.

As far as proportions of adolescents are concerned, Iran (24.2%), Libya (22.6%), Lebanon (22.2%) and Syria (22.2%) have high proportions. Countries viz., Bahrain (15.3%), Qatar (15.5%) and UAE (17.2%) have low proportions of adolescents. As far as the working age (25-59 years) population is concerned Qatar (53.7%), Bahrain (50.1%), Kuwait (47.9%) and UAE (45.9%) have high proportions; their proportions are low in Afghanistan (31.4%), Iraq (31.5%), Sudan (31.5%) and Yemen (26.7%).

Click here to view table 2

As far as the old age population is concerned, Lebanon (9.5%), Tunisia (8.7%) and UAE (8.3%) have higher proportions. Countries viz., Oman (3.8%), Saudi Arabia (3.5 %) and Sudan (3.7%) have very low proportions of old aged population.


6. Indices of Ageing

The structural composition of EMRO population has been further analyzed to understand the pace of change towards demographic prosperity. The results confirm that the population as a whole remains young with a comparable proportion of children but a low proportion of elderly (see Devi et al., 2002 for a detailed interpretation of ageing indices5).

The indices calculated from the age structure of this population include:

a. Child Woman Ratio - the ratio of children (aged less than 5 years) to 1000 woman in the age group of 15-49 years. It has been observed that the overall ratio is 577 indicating that there are 577 children per 1000 women of reproductive age. The ratio appears to be higher in South Asia and which is followed by Africa and Middle East Asia in that order. The child woman ratio of Pakistan has found to be higher than that of Afghanistan but Oman, Yemen, Djibouti and Somalia registered a ratio higher than that of Pakistan. Countries viz., Iran, Lebanon and Tunisia have registered a low ratio in the region.

Click here to view table 3

b. Aged-Child Ratio - the ratio of elderly persons (60 years and above) to 100 children (aged below 10 years) has been found to be low in the region especially in South Asia. Afghanistan registered a ratio lower than that of Pakistan. Oman from Middle East and Sudan from Africa have registered a still lower aged-child ratio. This ratio indicates a high economic burden.

c. Median Age - The average age of a population - the central value after ordering individual ages, is a measure of central tendency. This shows the point to which age of a maximum number of persons fall. It has been found that the median age remains low especially in South Asian countries. Both Middle East Asian and African countries in the region have a higher median age. It is in Yemen and in Sudan and in Somalia the median ages are found to be low.

d. Dependency Ratio - the ratio of children (less than 15 years) and old aged (60 years and above) to 100 persons in working age indicates the dependency burden in a given population. This results from the structural composition. This indicator also remains at a higher end in case of South Asia as compared to Middle East and also Africa. It has been understood that this region has a very high dependency burden. Such a high dependency burden might have resulted from the existing high birth rates and low death rates.


7. Public Health Scene

Public health in this region has become a firm political orientation and commitment. Positive trends namely improvement in distribution, quality and type of health services and broadening of services are visibly noted in the region. But the services are provided for specific population groups viz., mothers and children with quality of care differing from nation to nation. Maternal and Child Health (MCH) programs including family planning are oriented to disease prevention and health promotion through home visits and healthy family practices. This high importance attached to health care delivery in the region has been an important contributing factor in creating a better public health scenario as observable from key indicators.

The key indicators considered to explain the public health scene in this section refer to births and deaths and the resultant life expectancy. These indicators show the national prospects in social, demographic and health sectors.

a. Crude Birth Rate remains high in South Asia especially in Afghanistan. As far as birth rates in the Middle East Asia are concerned, high rates prevail in Yemen, Saudi Arabia and Iraq whereas lower rates are observed in UAE, Lebanon, Iran and Kuwait. Djibouti, Somalia and Sudan are found to have high birth rates in Africa.

b. Total Fertility Ratio (TFR), an indicator that shows reproductive behavior of the present cohort of women under the existing scenario, shows varying trends. TFR is registered to be high in the South Asian countries especially in Afghanistan. Even in the Middle East Asia, TFR is found to be high in Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Saudi Arabia and UAE. In Africa, the rates have registered to be high in Somalia, Sudan and Djibouti.

c. Crude Death Rate is also found to be high in Afghanistan as compared to Pakistan. All countries in the Middle East have low death rates. Among the African countries, Somalia and Djibouti are found to have high death rates.

Click here to view table 4

d. Infant Mortality Rate (IMR), another important indicator of public health shows varying levels of ill health among children and mothers. Afghanistan is registered to have the highest IMR in the whole region and which is followed by Somalia, Iraq and Djibouti in that order. Oil rich countries in the Middle East Asia have low levels of IMR indicating 'good maternal and child health' scenarios. Even the African countries have been able to reduce infant mortality to a large extent except Somalia and Djibouti.

e. Expectation of Life at Birth, an important variable that explains national the demographic situation is the end result of social, economic, demographic and health development. Nations all over the world are in a struggle to increase life expectancy through various interventions in medicine and technology. As has been seen earlier, Afghanistan in South Asia and Djibouti, Somalia and Sudan in Africa are found to be at a disadvantage on this indicator.

f. Childhood Immunization is not only a health indicator but also a development indicator as it determines health status of future population. In order to build a healthy population, it is mandatory to immunize children against all infectious diseases and disabling diseases.
In the Eastern Mediterranean region, childhood immunization is found to be common in almost all countries. It is the South Asian countries especially Afghanistan that lag behind in this parameter. Childhood Immunization is universal in the Middle East except in Iraq and Yemen. Djibouti, Somalia and Sudan have not achieved a universal childhood immunization as far as the African sector of this region is concerned.

Click here to view table 5

g. Health Services Utilization
Utilization of health facilities, in this region, are found to be varying from low in South Asian sector to high in the Middle East Asian Sector. Utilization in the African sector of this region varies widely. Afghanistan is found to have a lesser percentage of population having access to improved water sources, an important development indicator, as compared to Pakistan. Yemen in the Middle East Asia has a lower proportion of population with access to improved water sources (Iraq has only 61 percent). Except Somalia all countries in the African sector have a significantly higher proportion of population with access to improved water source (Sudan has only 60 percent).

Click here to view table 6

Percentage of population with access to improved sanitation is found to be high in all the countries except Yemen in Middle East Asia (percentage quoted for Saudi Arabia appears erroneous).

Antenatal care utilization has been found to be high in this region. Countries having a lower proportion of women accessing such services are found to be Afghanistan and Pakistan from South Asia, Iraq and Yemen from Middle East Asia and Somalia from Africa.
Births attended by skilled personnel is commonly observed in the Middle East Asia except Yemen but such practices are found to be very low in both countries of South Asia and in Somalia from Africa.

Percentage of pregnant women who receive all the three doses of immunization is found to be low in Iran and Yemen in the Middle East Asia. This indicator shows good utilization in other sectors.

Underweight children are found to be common in this region especially in both countries of South Asia, Yemen in Middle East Asia and Djibouti, Somali and Sudan in Africa.
Contraceptive practices are rarely noted in this region. But in Bahrain, Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Syria, Egypt, Libya and Morocco have more than 50 percent of couples protected by contraception.

Maternal Mortality is found to be very high in this region especially in Afghanistan and Pakistan in South Asia, Iraq and Yemen in Middle East Asia and Djibouti, Somalia and Sudan in Africa.

h. Health Provision
Provisions were made in these countries as per the international standards of health care delivery, with regard to physicians, dentists, pharmacists and nurses to serve a particular number of the population. The physician-population ratio has found to be the highest in Lebanon but the lowest in Somalia. This ratio has found to be very low in Afghanistan in South Asia, Yemen in Middle East Asia and Somalia, Djibouti and Sudan in Africa.
Dentists to serve the population vary from 2 per 100,000 in Somalia to 110 per 100,000 in Lebanon. Afghanistan and Pakistan in South Asia has a lower number of dentists whereas Lebanon, Syria and Jordan have a higher number of dentists in Middle East Asia. As far as African countries are concerned, Somalia and Djibouti have less numbers of dentists per 10,000 population.

Click here to view table 7

As far as the number of pharmacists per 10,000 population is considered, the provision is found to be low except in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Qatar and Syria. Number of nurses per 10,000 people is low in Afghanistan and Pakistan in South Asia and Somalia and Sudan in Africa. Countries in the Middle East Asia have better standards in this indicator.
Number of hospitals per 10,000 population is found to be high in the Middle East Asian Countries except Yemen whereas it is low in South Asian Countries. African sector of this region has better standards except Morocco, Somalia and Sudan. Primary Health Centres (PHCs) are found to be very low in this region in all countries except Lebanon and UAE, showing that such a concept has not yet developed in this region.

i. Morbidity in this region shows high incidences of water borne diseases and childhood diseases. Incidence rates of such diseases are very high in South Asia as compared to that in the other sectors of this region.

Incidences of Measles, Pulmonary Tuberculosis, Tetanus and Meningitis are found to be high in the Middle East. All the diseases have high incidence rates in African countries even though there are differences across countries.


Conclusions

This extract has been solely dependent upon the statistics given by the International Data Base of U.S. Bureau of Census and WHO Regional Office for Eastern Mediterranean. Even though national level data varies slightly from this, wide disparities are not observed. And thus this extract has been prepared with the assumption that the above data are reliable for a primary level examination.

The Eastern Mediterranean Region that consists of South Asia, Middle East Asia, East Africa and North Africa is diverse in many respects. Countries in this region are of different size in terms of both land area and population pressures. Population is distributed sparsely across countries in this region. South Asian countries are highly populated whereas countries in Middle East and Africa are sparsely populated except where there are a higher proportion of immigrants. Sex ratio is slightly turned in favor of males but higher imbalance has been found in countries having expatriate workers, which might be because of the gender differentials in labor migrations.

The age structure of the population in this region shows early stage of demographic transition. While South Asia passes through the very early stage of transition, Africa has progressed slightly over South Asia. Middle East has progressed highly in this process. Since, a major share of population in the Middle East is expatriate, the above age structure requires to be compared with the native and also that of the expatriate population. Efforts are needed to bring a harmony in sex ratio especially of the expatriate population. This has relevance for upholding religious values and also in ensuring reproductive health, thereby reducing epidemics viz., HIV/AIDS.

Since, this region passes through an early stage of demographic transition, a high proportion of population are in childhood and teen ages. As per the theoretical contention, this cohort will move to working age in the coming years. So, in future there are higher chances of expansion in the number of people in working ages, provided birth rates are controlled to the absolute minimum. Ageing of population has not been a prominent issue in this region, though their numbers are high and increasing. Even though, as preparation to meet challenges of population of ageing, countries need to start planning.

Public health indicators show that populations in this region are healthy except in a few countries where vital statistics are registered to be high and expectation of life at birth is found to be low. Childhood immunization is found to be appreciable in a great majority of these countries, yet, there are a few countries where the proportion of children immunized against major infectious diseases is low.

A unique morbidity pattern has been revealed in this region, with common diseases varying from that of other regions. Careful interventions are recommended to protect the population from life threatening and disabling diseases that are spread in this region.

Overall, this region is heterogeneous having three sectors. Within the sector, African sector is again heterogeneous. This resourceful region requires consideration and solidarity to contribute to the poor performing nations and uplift needy and suffering populations, that is part of Islamic culture.

References

1. Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office of WHO, 1987, Evaluation of the Strategy for Health for All by the 2000, Vol. 6, Cairo, World Health Organisation.
2. U. S. Bureau of Census, International Data base, Washington, http://www.census.gov/cgi-bin/ipc/idbsprd
3. Central Intelligence Agency, U.S., 2005, Washington, https://cia.gov/cia//publications/factbook/geos
4. Rajan, S.I., 2004, Dynamics of International Migration from India: Its Economic and Social Implications, The ICFAI Journal of Employment Law, Vol. II, No. 2, April pp 25-46.
5. Devi, D.R., Asharaf, A. and Das, N., 2002, Economics of Ageing: A Study Based on Kerala, Bombay, International Institute for Population Sciences.
6. Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office of WHO, 2005, Cairo, WHO, http://www.emro.who.int/emrinfo