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June 2008, Volume 5 - Issue 3

A Comparative Study of the Levels of Mortality by Causes of Death in a Rural Population of Bangladesh

Md. Aminul Hoque*

*Department of Statistics, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi - 6205, Bangladesh

Correspondence:
Md. Aminul Hoque, Ph.D.,
Associate Professor,
Department of Statistics,
University of Rajshahi,
Rajshahi-6205, Bangladesh
Mobile: +88-1914254017,
Fax: +88-0721-750064-42241 (Ext).
Email:
mdaminulh@gmail.com



ABSTRACT

The present study is an attempt to investigate the mortality rates by age, sex and different categories of diseases. The diseases are categorized as Micro-organism (C1), Un-natural (C2), Physiological disorder (C3) and Other (C4). and also as Endogenous (), Exogenous () and other () and depending on age, the stages of life are categorized as Infant (<1 year), Children (1-4 years),Youth age group (5-19 years), Most productive age group (20-44 years), Older productive age group (45-64 years) and Old age group (65+ years ).The analysis shows that child and old age death rates are still high in Matlab particularly due to causes of micro-organism (C1) and exogenous ().

Key Words: Mortality Rate, Diseases, Endogenous, Exogenous, Productive Age


INTRODUCTION

Cause-specific mortality statistics are primary evidence for health policy formulation, programme evaluation, and epidemiological research (Seval Akgün et al., 2007). Study of the trends in mortality by causes of death in Bangladesh is scarce due to paucity of relevant data.

Data on mortality by age, sex and cause are primary inputs for assessing population health status, and a cornerstone of the evidence base for health policy, in combination with other epidemiological and socio-economic information. While medically certified cause of death data from complete civil registration systems is the 'gold standard' for such statistics, these are generally not available in over two-thirds of all countries (Mathers et al., 2005). Currently, several critical mortality indicators (e.g. infant, child and maternal mortality rates) are estimated using data from demographic surveys.

While trends in these indicators do suggest improvements in maternal and child health over the past three decades, they are prone to measurement error, due to sampling as well as recall bias. Even if the levels and trends were reliably estimated, further improvements in population health would require accurate information on cause-specific mortality to guide policy and programme priorities (Ruzicka et al., 1990).

Persons dying of different causes are not recorded on a national basis therefore it is very difficult to obtain cause-specific death statistics for the population of the country. Death statistics by various causes are recorded, perhaps only for Matlab population under the Demographic Surveillance System (DSS) undertaken by ICDDR, B.

The present study was carried out with an objective of investigating the trend in the level of mortality by various types of causes of death and stages of life, in the population of Matlab, a rural population of the country.


DATA AND METHODOLOGY

The present study has utilized published data on mortality of Matlab population in Chandpur district, Bangladesh. The Scientific Reports of ICDDR,B publish statistics on births, deaths, migration and marriage of the DSS, Matlab. The mortality data are published by age and sex and also by causes of death. Our present study uses causes-specific, age and sex data from the years 1980 and 1987. Such data are available in the Scientific Report No.70 published in 1992 (ICDDR, B 1992). Quite a good number of causes of death (in terms of disease) prevail in Bangladesh as well as in Matlab. The Scientific Reports of DSS of the year 1980 recorded 27 diseases, and 21 diseases in 1987. For the sake of analysis the age groups are classified on the basis of Spengler and Duncan (1963) classification which we call stages of life. These are as follows:

Under 1 (one) year: Infant
1-4 years: Children
5-19 years: Youth age group
20-44 years: Most productive age group
45-64 years: Older productive age group
65+ years: Old age

However, such a classification of life cycle is arbitrary but we believe that prevalence of disease and incidence of death due to various diseases can well be represented by such a classification of life stages.
The causes of death are grouped into the following categories with the relevant disease.

Category I: Micro-organism (Labelled as C1): Measles, tetanus, diarrhoea (acute, chronic), dysentery (acute, chronic), jaundice, tuberculosis, venereal disease, cholera (proved), rheumatism, ENT disease other infectious disease, ARI (pneumonia, influenza), etc.

Category II: Unnatural Death (Labelled as C2): Drowning, murder, suicide, homicide, accident etc.

Category III: Physiological Disorder (Labelled as C3): Disease of GI tract, respiratory, malignant neoplasms, COPD, gastrointestinal, dropsy, vascular (heart and liver) disease senility (old diseases ) etc.

Category IV: Other (labelled as C4): Skin disease, childbirth (direct obstetric), nutritional, fever (all forms), unknown and other.

In analyzing mortality in terms of cause of death in detail it is useful to distinguish the broad classes of disease designated as endogenous and exogenous (Siegel and Sryock, 1976). Thus on the basis of our data and nature of diseases the total causes are again categorized into three categories. They are as follows with the relevant disease:

Category I: Endogenous (Labelled as ): Malignant neoplasms (cancer), disease of G.I. tract, cardiovascular (heart & liver) diseases, gastrointestinal, childbirth (direct obstetric), skin disease, dropsy, rheumatism, senility (old age), COPD (Chronic, Obstructive, Pulmonary Disease ).

Category II: Endogenous (Labelled as ): Diarrhoea (acute, chronic), dysentery (acute, chronic), tuberculosis, tetanus, measles, venereal disease, drowning, murder, suicide, homicide, accident, cholera (proved), jaundice, respiratory, fever (all forms), ENT disease, other infectious and ARI (pneumonia, influenza), etc.

Category III: Other (Labelled as ): Nutritional, unknown and other.

The analysis is performed following the stages of life and various categories of disease as described above.

In order to get a clearer picture of the prevalence of mortality due to various categories of diseases at different stages of life, we need to compute the cause and life stage specific mortality rates for the study population. Such rates are computed (Johnson.et al.,1980) in the following way,

Mis = (Dis / Ps) x 1000

Where Mis is the observed mortality rate due to i'th category of disease at the stages of life S. Here Dis denotes observed deaths due to i'th category of disease at the Sth stage of life out of the exposure population Ps in that stage of life.
For infant stage,

Mis = (Dis / B) x 1000

Where B is the total births born alive and S indicates the infant stage of life.



RESULTS

Table 1 presents the mortality rates due to various categories of diseases viz, C1(micro-organism ), C2(unnatural death), C3(Physiological disorder) and C4(other ) and also for all causes (C) at different stages of life as indicated in the table for males and females of Matlab DSS population for the years 1980 and 1987.

The data shows that infant mortality rates (IMR) due to all causes (C) for male, female and both sexes respectively are 90.3, 118.5 and 103.9 per 1000 live births in 1980 whereas the respective figures are 90.3, 83.1 and 86.7 in 1987. Marked difference is evident in male-female IMR in both the year of 1980 and 1987 with a sharp decline in female IMR in 1987. Except that of child stage of life mortality rates due to all disease, all other stages have not shown any virtual temporal variation. Table 1 further shows high infant mortality rate is due to category C1(micro-organism ) and is 59.8 in 1980 and 79.0 in 1987 followed by cause C4 (other) which is 23.4 in 1980 and 9.4 in 1987. It is also found that rates of male death have increased in 1987 in comparison to micro-organism and unnatural causes in 1980, but the female infants death rates have declined in 1987 with respect to all categories of disease except the cause of unnatural death.

The infant female mortality rates in 1980 are 69.4, 1.7, 9.8 and 37.6 due to categories of C1, C2, C3 and C4 respectively. Whereas the corresponding figures in 1987 are 67.7, 2.8, 8 and 1.8 respectively. The child mortality rates decline in 1987 compared to 1980 due to all categories of causes, except cause C2 (unnatural cause of death ) for male, female and both sexes.

Table 1. Mortality Rates due to Group One Categories of Diseases at Different Stages of Life: Mis; i=1, 2, 3, 4. [Matlab population,1980 and 1987]

Mortality rates per 1000(Mis)
Stages life Sex All causes(C) 1st  cause
C1
2nd cause
C2
3rd  cause
C3
4th cause
C2
  1980 1987 1980 1987 1980 1987 1980 1987 1980 1987

Infant
<1

Male 90.3 90.3 58.9 79.0 0.0 1.4 7.9 0.6 23.4 9.4
Female 118.5 83.1 69.4 67.7 1.8 2.8 9.8 0.8 37.6 11.8
Both 103.9 86.7 64.0 73.4 0.8 2.1 8.8 0.7 30.3 10.6

Child
1-4

Male 16.5 8.7 6.2 5.3 2.5 2.3 2.5 0.1 5.4 1.1
Female 28.0 16.7 14.2 11.8 2.1 2.5 5.4 0.5 6.4 1.9
Both 22.1 12.6 10.1 8.4 2.3 2.4 3.9 0.3 5.9 1.5

Youth
5-19

Male 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7
Female 2.2 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.9 0.9
Both 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.7

Most Productive
20-44

Male 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 1.2 0.3 0.9 0.7
Female 2.9 3.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 1.4 1.9
Both 2.9 2.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.4 1.2 1.3

Older Productive
45-64

Male 14.5 16.0 2.9 2.1 0.5 0.6 6.8 6.3 4.7 7.0
Female 13.2 10.4 3.7 1.9 0.0 0.1 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.6
Both 14.0 13.2 3.3 2.0 0.3 0.3 6.1 5.5 4.4 5.3
Old age
65+
Male 69.8 75.6 18.9 6.9 1.1 0.8 36.7 61.5 13.1 6.4
Female 75.0 72.6 17.4 7.2 1.3 0.6 42.2 54.2 14.2 6.6
Both 72.1 74.2 18.2 7.1 1.2 0.7 39.2 60.0 13.6 6.5
Total Male 12.1 10.2 4.8 4.8 0.6 0.7 3.4 3.3 3.3 1.9
Female 14.1 10.3 6.1 4.6 0.4 0.6 3.6 2.8 4.1 2.3
Both 13.1 10.2 5.4 4.5 0.5 0.6 3.5 3.0 3.7 2.1

The child mortality rates are 6.2, 14.2 and 10.1 for male, female and both sexes respectively due to micro-organism cause in 1980. Such rates in 1987 are 5.3, 11.8 and 8.4 respectively. The corresponding figures due to causes of unnatural death are 2.5, 2.1 and 2.3 in 1980 and 2.3, 2.5 and 2.4 in 1987. For cause physiological disorder (C3) the respective results are 2.5, 5.4 and 3.9 in 1980 and 4.1, 0.5 and 0.3 in 1987. It has also been found from Table 1 that female child mortality rate due to every category of diseases are higher than male child mortality rates in both the years 1980 and 1987. The highest male child mortality is 6.2 in 1980 due to cause C1 and 5.3 in 1987 due to the same cause C1 and the lowest figure are 2.5 in 1980 and 0.1 in 1987 both due to cause C3. The highest female child mortality rate is 14.2 in 1980 and 11.8 in 1987 for cause C1.

From Table 1 it has been found that mortality rates in youth and most productive age groups by sex, have declined slightly in1987 from 1980, due to all categories of disease except category C2. Mortality rates for both stages of life are slightly increased in 1987 than in 1980 for female and both sexes for the causes C2. The youth male mortality rate is higher due to cause C1 than all other causes in 1980 whereas that in 1987 was due to cause C4. On the other hand the highest youth female mortality rate is 0.9 in 1987 due to cause C4. The highest male rate of most productive age group is 1.2 in 1980 due to cause C3 and 0.9 in 1987 due to cause C4. and the highest female rate of most productive age group is 1.4 in 1980 and 1.9 in 1987 due to other causes.

In oldest productive age group and oldest age group the male mortality rates are 14.5 and 69.8 respectively due to all causes in 1980 and the corresponding figures are 16.0 and 75.6 in 1987.Thus the male mortality rates of oldest productive and old age groups have increased in 1987 in comparison to 1980. However for females the corresponding mortality rates are 13.16 and 72.1 in 1980 and 13.2 and 74.2 in 1987 for both sexes. All other categories also show the same trend except cause C2 for oldest productive age and cause C3 of old age group .The oldest productive death rates due to causes C2 are approximately the same in 1980 and 1987, and older death rates for female and both sexes have decreased at all categories of causes, except category C2 in 1987 compared to 1980.

The overall death rates are 12.1, 14.1 and 13.1 of male, female and both sexes respectively in 1980 and the corresponding figures in 1987 are 10.2, 10.3 and 10.2 implying the death rates have declined in 1987 compared to 1980.

Mortality rate due to endogenous , exogenous and other categories of disease of group two at different stages of life for males, females and both sexes together for the years 1980 and 1987, are presented in Table 2.

It is found from this Table that the infant mortality rates of male, female and both sexes are 3.2, 3.9 and 3.5 respectively in 1980 and 0.6, 0.8 and 0.7 in 1987 indicating a declining tendency over time. No sex differential in IMR due to endogenous cause is apparent. In cases of exogenous cause the male IMR has increased from 69.5 in 1980 to 80.4 in 1987. The female IMR has shown the reverse trend; it has decreased from 86.7 in 1980 to 70.5 in 1987. Infant mortality rates due to exogenous causes for both the sexes are higher than that of endogenous causes and other causes . Such a trend is apparent in both the years.

Child mortality rates due to both the sexes and different categories Ci (i=1, 2, 3) of diseases of group two are higher in 1980 than in 1987 .Child mortality rates for different categories are higher for females than that for males for both the years 1980 and 1987.

Table 2. Mortality Rates (is; i=1,2,3) due to group two categories of diseases
(i; i=1,2,3) at indicated stages of life: Matlab population, 1980 and 1987

Mortality Rates Per 1000

Stages of life Sex Endogenous cause Exogenous causes Other causes
1980 1987 1980 1987 1980 1987

Infant
<1

Male 3.2 0.6 69.4 17.6 9.4 9.4
Female 3.9 0.8 86.7 27.9 11.8 11.8
Both 3.5 0.7 77.8 22.6 10.2 10.2

Child
1-4

Male 1.6 0.1 12.7 2.3 1.1 1.1
Female 4.0 0.5 20.8 3.2 1.9 1.9
Both 2.8 0.3 16.6 2.7 1.5 1.5

Youth
5-19

Male 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.4
Female 0.5 0.2 1.3 0.4 0.8 0.8
Both 0.4 0.2 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.6

Most Productive
20-44

Male 1.1 0.3 1.1 0.7 0.7 0.7
Female 1.0 1.0 1.3 0.7 1.4 1.5
Both 1.0 0.7 1.2 0.7 1.1 1.1

Older Productive
45-64

Male 5.3 6.3 7.0 2.5 7.0 7.0
Female 5.4 4.8 5.7 2.1 3.6 3.6
Both 5.3 5.5 6.4 2.3 5.3 5.3

Old age
65+

Male 35.4 61.5 26.1 8.3 6.4 6.4
Female 43.4 58.2 24.8 6.8 6.6 6.6
Both 39.0 60.0 25.5 7.6 6.5 6.5

Total

Male 2.8 3.3 7.2 2.1 1.9 1.9
Female 3.3 3.0 8.4 2.3 2.1 2.1
Both 3.1 3.1 7.8 2.2 2.0 2.0

Youth and most productive mortality rates for male, female and both sexes for all of categories of diseases remain almost the same but with a slightly decline tendency in 1987 compared to 1980. Mortality rates at the oldest productive, and old age groups, have shown an increasing tendency for causes categorized as endogenous (C1) and, group other a decline tendency over time for cause exogenous (C2). The phenomena are evident in both the sexes.

Thus our impression is that the diseases categorized as exogenous are more prominent in Matlab in comparison to diseases categorized as endogenous and others, at least at the infant, and old stages of life. Children of 1 to 4 years of age also die in good numbers due to this exogenous cause. However, decreasing trends in death rates by cause is apparent in almost all stages of life.

 

CONCLUSSIONS

Of all causes of death that prevail in Matlab deaths due to the cause of micro-organisms are substantial compared to other categories of diseases at least among the infants and children. This is also the case in the exogenous category of diseases. Both the categories consist of mostly communicable and water-borne diseases. Prevention and control of such disease largely depends on the improvement of health and sanitation conditions. Temporal trend in the level of mortality by various categories of diseases and at different stages of life cycle reflects a somewhat improved health care system in Matlab. The impression is that much care still needs to be taken for further improvement of the environment condition related to health in this area in particular, and in the country, in general .



REFERENCE

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Elandt Johnson, R.C. and Johnson, N.L. (1980). Survival Models and Data Analysis. John Wiley and sons, New York.

Henry S. Shryock, Jacob S. Siegel and Associates (1976). The Method of Materials of Demography .Condensed Edition by Edward G. Stocwell: Academic Press, Inc.(London), LTD.24/28 Oval Road, London NWI.

Mathers CD, Ma Fat D, Inoue M, and Rao C, (2005). Counting the dead and what they died of: an assessment of the global status of cause of death data. Bulletin of the World Health Organization. 83:171-77.

Seval Akgün, Chalapati Rao, Nazan Yardim, Berrak Bora Basara, Ozlem Ayd n, Salih Mollahaliloglu and Alan D. Lopez (2007). Estimating mortality and causes of death in Turkey: methods, results and policy implications. The European Journal of Public Health 2007 17(6):593-599.

Spengler J.J. and O.D. Duncan (1963). Demographic Analysis. The population Council, Inc.230 Park Avenue New York 17.

Staffs of ICDDR,B (1992).Demographic Surveillance System -Matlab .Vol.18, Registration of Demographic Events, 1987. Scientific Report No.70 ICDDR,B Nov.1992.

Ruzicka L, and Lopez AD (1990). The use of cause-of-death statistics for health situation assessment: National and international experiences. World Health Statistics Quarterly. 43:249-57.